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Biased sample

Only those who wanted to answered, or too few did – the result can't be generalised.

A survey only tells you about the people who answered it. If they chose to take part – the happiest, the angriest, the most active – or if there were only a few of them, the result can't be applied to everyone.

Example · made up for illustration
A cycling fans' group on social media asked: “Do you want more cycle lanes in town?” 94% of voters said yes. The result shows what the group's followers think – not what all the town's residents think.

How to spot it

  • An online, social media or TV poll where anyone who wants to can vote.
  • The number of respondents is missing or very small (a few dozen people).
  • The question was asked by someone followed mainly by people with one point of view.
  • The result is suspiciously one-sided – 95% or 100% for one answer.

How to check and what to do

  • Find out how many people answered and how they were chosen – at random, or did they sign up themselves?
  • Look for a survey with a representative sample; a reputable pollster states the sample size, dates and method.
  • Allow for uncertainty: even with 1,000 well-chosen people, the result can differ from reality by around 3 percentage points.
  • Ask who is missing from the survey – and whether they would have answered differently.

Tip: An internet poll measures who felt like voting, not what everyone thinks.

The card fits on one A4 page – for the classroom, a noticeboard, or parents and grandparents.

Practise it

Lessons and articles where you hunt for this trick with the red pencil.

More tricks from the chapter Numbers and charts.

All tricks in the atlas →

Biased sample: how to spot and check it | ThinkCritical.eu